Economic operation of non-ferrous metal industry in 2013
I. Industry operation
(1) The output increased steadily, and the output of electrolytic aluminum decreased.
From January to December, the output of ten non-ferrous metals in China was 40.29 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 9.9%. Among them, refined copper, primary aluminum, lead and zinc production were 6.84 million tons, 22.05 million tons, 4.47 million tons, and 5.3 million tons, respectively, up 13.5%, 9.7%, 5%, 11.1%, of which the growth rate of primary aluminum fell 3.5. Percentage points. The output of copper and aluminum was 14.99 million tons and 39.63 million tons, respectively, increasing by 25% and 24%, respectively, an increase of 14 percentage points and 8 percentage points.
(II) The decline in industry profits has narrowed, and progress has been made in transformation and upgrading.
From January to December, 9276 large-scale non-ferrous metal industrial enterprises (including gold, rare earth, the same below) achieved a main business income of 5.2695 trillion yuan, an increase of 11.8%, a profit of 207.3 billion yuan, down 5.9%, a decrease of 1.2 percentage points. . Among them, the profit of non-ferrous metal mining and smelting industry was 62.8 billion yuan and 25.9 billion yuan, respectively, down 17.2% and 0.2%. Among the major smelting varieties, aluminum smelting loss was 2.31 billion yuan. Non-ferrous metal rolling processing realized a profit of 79.1 billion yuan, an increase of 11.5%. Calendering processing has become the industry's largest profit and fastest growing field.
(3) The price oscillations declined, and the average price decreased significantly year-on-year.
Due to the sluggish demand from domestic and overseas markets and the oversupply of the market, the price of non-ferrous metals oscillated at a low level in 2013. From the whole year, the annual average price of domestic copper, aluminum, lead and zinc spot was 53,380 yuan / ton, 14556 / ton, 14,249 yuan / ton and 15,178 yuan / ton, respectively, down 6.9%, 7.1%, 7.4% and 0.5%; the average price of LME March copper, aluminum and zinc in the international market was US$7,352/ton, US$1,888/ton, and US$1,940/ton, respectively, down 7.5%, 7.9% and 1.3%. The average lead price was $2,158/ton, an increase of 4%.
(4) The investment amount continues to increase and the structure has improved.
According to the statistics of China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association, in 2013, China's non-ferrous metal industry (excluding independent gold enterprises) completed fixed assets investment of 660.9 billion yuan, an increase of 19.8%, an increase of 4.2 percentage points over the previous year. Among them, mining, smelting and processing completed fixed assets investment of 124.1 billion yuan, 206.4 billion yuan and 330.3 billion yuan, respectively, an increase of 14.4%, -1.0%, 40.8%. Among them, processing investment has risen sharply, mine investment has increased steadily, smelting investment has eased, and investment structure has been adjusted significantly.
(5) The volume of import and export trade increased slightly, and the import of raw materials continued to grow.
According to customs statistics, in 2013, China's non-ferrous metal import and export trade totaled 158.1 billion US dollars, an increase of 1.1%. The annual import volume was US$103.3 billion, a decrease of 3.3%. However, the import volume of copper concentrate and bauxite increased by 28.7% and 78.5% respectively. The imports of raw materials and primary products of non-ferrous metals mines that are still scarce in China continued to increase. The export value was 54.8 billion US dollars, an increase of 10.7%, and the growth rate dropped by 8.7 percentage points. Among them, the export value of copper and zinc products decreased, and the export value of aluminum and lead products increased.
(6) The pace of technological advancement in the industry is accelerating, and energy conservation and consumption reduction have achieved remarkable results.
In 2013, new achievements were made in the development of key technologies and new materials in the industry. The direct-smelting lead technology and the precision process of high-precision production of precision copper tubes in China were successfully developed. The aluminum alloy plate project was put into production. With the widespread promotion of new technologies, the non-ferrous metals industry has achieved remarkable results in energy conservation. According to preliminary statistics, in 2013, the comprehensive AC power consumption of aluminum ingots in China dropped to 13,740 kWh/ton, a decrease of 104 kWh/ton. 2.3 billion kWh; the comprehensive energy consumption of copper smelting and electrolytic zinc decreased to 314.4 kg of standard coal/ton and 909.3 kg of standard coal/ton. At the same time, overseas development projects continued to advance, and China's largest copper project in China, Chinalco Peru Tromock, was officially put into operation, and the preliminary work of the Guinea alumina project and the Indonesian alumina project progressed.
Second, the problems in the operation of the industry
In 2013, under the severe domestic and international economic situation, the non-ferrous metal industry continued to be stable and positive, and the development mode was constantly changing. However, there are still some prominent contradictions and problems in the industry.
First, the problem of overcapacity is outstanding, and it is urgent to break down institutional and institutional obstacles. At present, most industries in China have excess smelting capacity, and the electrolytic aluminum industry is the most prominent. At the end of 2013, domestic electrolytic aluminum production capacity was 32 million tons, an increase of more than 4 million tons over the previous year. The unfair power system is the main cause of the disorderly expansion of electrolytic aluminum production capacity. It is urgent to promote the reform of the power system and create a level playing field for the development of the aluminum industry.
Second, the smelting enterprises have insufficient resources, and some enterprises have difficulties in operation. At present, most domestic smelting enterprises have insufficient self-prepared mines, and the raw materials need to be outsourced. The development costs and risks of overseas resources are increasing, and the progress of the project is slow. Smelting enterprises have poor economic returns. For example, lead and zinc smelting profits account for only 20% of the lead and zinc industry, mining profits account for 80%, and some aluminum companies that lack self-provided mines suffer serious losses.
Third, the ability of independent innovation is weak, and industrial structural contradictions are prominent. China's non-ferrous metal industry is generally in the middle and low-end of the international industrial chain division, and the high-end product development capability is weak. In 2013, the average price of China's copper and aluminum imports was 1.16 times and 1.85 times respectively. Independent innovation and high-end product development capabilities need to be improved.
Fourth, the state-owned and holding companies have low profit levels and the management level needs to be improved. From January to December, the main business income of non-ferrous state-owned and holding companies was 1,733.4 billion yuan, accounting for 33% of the whole industry. The total profit was 26.5 billion yuan, accounting for 13% of the whole industry. The main business income profit rate and asset profit rate They are 1.53% and 1.72%, respectively, which are only 39% and 30% of the industry-wide average, which is 26% and 39% of the national average of state-owned and holding industrial enterprises.
Third, the industry situation outlook in 2014
In 2014, the world economy was still in a recovery period after the crisis. The overall situation tends to be stable and begins to grow slowly. However, the return of manufacturing in developed countries and the homogenous competition in developing countries will exacerbate trade friction. From the domestic situation, China's economic fundamentals are still good, and the environment supporting the operation of the non-ferrous metal industry will be further improved. Initially, in 2014, China's non-ferrous metal industry production, consumption, and investment will continue to grow slightly, and the price trend is still dominated by low-level shocks. The resources, energy and environmental pressures facing the development of the industry are increasing, and the adjustment of industrial structure will be further deepened. Overall, the non-ferrous metals industry will be slightly better in operation in 2014, but it will not change much.
Fourth, the industry's key work in 2014
In-depth implementation of the spirit of the Party's 18th and 18th Central Committees and the 3rd Plenary Session, in accordance with the overall requirements and development goals put forward by the Central Economic Work Conference and the National Work Conference, and adhere to the general tone of the work of seeking stability, so that The market plays a decisive role in the allocation of resources, focusing on resolving overcapacity, promoting rare metal legislation, and improving industry management policies, promoting the establishment of a unified, open, competitive and orderly market system, guiding the healthy and orderly development of the industry, and promoting Industry transformation and upgrading.
The first is to resolve the serious overcapacity of electrolytic aluminum production capacity. Strictly implement the relevant policies and measures of the "Guiding Opinions of the State Council on Resolving the Contradictions of Serious Overcapacity in Production Capacity." Strictly control the new total amount, promote the expansion of aluminum applications, implement the ladder price, research and promote the establishment of a fair use of electricity, and guide enterprises to "go global."
The second is to study the related work of strengthening the management of rare metals. In conjunction with the Party Central Committee and the State Council to reduce administrative examination and approval, reduce the overall requirements for market intervention, carefully study rare earth, tungsten, molybdenum and other rare metal products to strengthen industry management policies and measures, actively promote the drafting of the "Rare Metals Management Regulations", and complete the State Council's "rare" The formulation and publicity and interpretation of the Metal Industry Development Plan.
The third is to improve the industry management policy. Revised and released the "Standard Conditions for Copper Smelting Industry" to speed up the revision of the access conditions for tungsten, tin, antimony, lead and zinc industries. As soon as possible, in accordance with the "Aluminum Industry Standard Conditions", the existing aluminum enterprises will be comprehensively sorted out, the second batch of aluminum industry standard work will be started, and the entry and standardization announcements of other varieties will continue to be promoted.
The fourth is to actively promote industrial restructuring and standardized management. Combine the work of resolving excess capacity, and conscientiously do a good job of eliminating backwardness, technological transformation, integration of two industries, and standardization and revision in 2014. Continue to standardize the handling of gold minerals approval documents, and hold a national symposium on gold industry management work in due course.
The fifth is to strengthen industry analysis and research. Strengthen the monitoring and analysis of production, efficiency, investment, and import and export of key varieties, especially electrolytic aluminum. Strengthen the investigation of key provinces, key varieties and key enterprises, sort out the current situation of the industry, and timely carry out the preliminary research work of the “13th Five-Year Development Plan for Nonferrous Metals Industry†to provide a basis for researching and formulating policies and guiding the healthy development of the industry.
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(1) The output increased steadily, and the output of electrolytic aluminum decreased.
From January to December, the output of ten non-ferrous metals in China was 40.29 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 9.9%. Among them, refined copper, primary aluminum, lead and zinc production were 6.84 million tons, 22.05 million tons, 4.47 million tons, and 5.3 million tons, respectively, up 13.5%, 9.7%, 5%, 11.1%, of which the growth rate of primary aluminum fell 3.5. Percentage points. The output of copper and aluminum was 14.99 million tons and 39.63 million tons, respectively, increasing by 25% and 24%, respectively, an increase of 14 percentage points and 8 percentage points.
(II) The decline in industry profits has narrowed, and progress has been made in transformation and upgrading.
From January to December, 9276 large-scale non-ferrous metal industrial enterprises (including gold, rare earth, the same below) achieved a main business income of 5.2695 trillion yuan, an increase of 11.8%, a profit of 207.3 billion yuan, down 5.9%, a decrease of 1.2 percentage points. . Among them, the profit of non-ferrous metal mining and smelting industry was 62.8 billion yuan and 25.9 billion yuan, respectively, down 17.2% and 0.2%. Among the major smelting varieties, aluminum smelting loss was 2.31 billion yuan. Non-ferrous metal rolling processing realized a profit of 79.1 billion yuan, an increase of 11.5%. Calendering processing has become the industry's largest profit and fastest growing field.
(3) The price oscillations declined, and the average price decreased significantly year-on-year.
Due to the sluggish demand from domestic and overseas markets and the oversupply of the market, the price of non-ferrous metals oscillated at a low level in 2013. From the whole year, the annual average price of domestic copper, aluminum, lead and zinc spot was 53,380 yuan / ton, 14556 / ton, 14,249 yuan / ton and 15,178 yuan / ton, respectively, down 6.9%, 7.1%, 7.4% and 0.5%; the average price of LME March copper, aluminum and zinc in the international market was US$7,352/ton, US$1,888/ton, and US$1,940/ton, respectively, down 7.5%, 7.9% and 1.3%. The average lead price was $2,158/ton, an increase of 4%.
(4) The investment amount continues to increase and the structure has improved.
According to the statistics of China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association, in 2013, China's non-ferrous metal industry (excluding independent gold enterprises) completed fixed assets investment of 660.9 billion yuan, an increase of 19.8%, an increase of 4.2 percentage points over the previous year. Among them, mining, smelting and processing completed fixed assets investment of 124.1 billion yuan, 206.4 billion yuan and 330.3 billion yuan, respectively, an increase of 14.4%, -1.0%, 40.8%. Among them, processing investment has risen sharply, mine investment has increased steadily, smelting investment has eased, and investment structure has been adjusted significantly.
(5) The volume of import and export trade increased slightly, and the import of raw materials continued to grow.
According to customs statistics, in 2013, China's non-ferrous metal import and export trade totaled 158.1 billion US dollars, an increase of 1.1%. The annual import volume was US$103.3 billion, a decrease of 3.3%. However, the import volume of copper concentrate and bauxite increased by 28.7% and 78.5% respectively. The imports of raw materials and primary products of non-ferrous metals mines that are still scarce in China continued to increase. The export value was 54.8 billion US dollars, an increase of 10.7%, and the growth rate dropped by 8.7 percentage points. Among them, the export value of copper and zinc products decreased, and the export value of aluminum and lead products increased.
(6) The pace of technological advancement in the industry is accelerating, and energy conservation and consumption reduction have achieved remarkable results.
In 2013, new achievements were made in the development of key technologies and new materials in the industry. The direct-smelting lead technology and the precision process of high-precision production of precision copper tubes in China were successfully developed. The aluminum alloy plate project was put into production. With the widespread promotion of new technologies, the non-ferrous metals industry has achieved remarkable results in energy conservation. According to preliminary statistics, in 2013, the comprehensive AC power consumption of aluminum ingots in China dropped to 13,740 kWh/ton, a decrease of 104 kWh/ton. 2.3 billion kWh; the comprehensive energy consumption of copper smelting and electrolytic zinc decreased to 314.4 kg of standard coal/ton and 909.3 kg of standard coal/ton. At the same time, overseas development projects continued to advance, and China's largest copper project in China, Chinalco Peru Tromock, was officially put into operation, and the preliminary work of the Guinea alumina project and the Indonesian alumina project progressed.
Second, the problems in the operation of the industry
In 2013, under the severe domestic and international economic situation, the non-ferrous metal industry continued to be stable and positive, and the development mode was constantly changing. However, there are still some prominent contradictions and problems in the industry.
First, the problem of overcapacity is outstanding, and it is urgent to break down institutional and institutional obstacles. At present, most industries in China have excess smelting capacity, and the electrolytic aluminum industry is the most prominent. At the end of 2013, domestic electrolytic aluminum production capacity was 32 million tons, an increase of more than 4 million tons over the previous year. The unfair power system is the main cause of the disorderly expansion of electrolytic aluminum production capacity. It is urgent to promote the reform of the power system and create a level playing field for the development of the aluminum industry.
Second, the smelting enterprises have insufficient resources, and some enterprises have difficulties in operation. At present, most domestic smelting enterprises have insufficient self-prepared mines, and the raw materials need to be outsourced. The development costs and risks of overseas resources are increasing, and the progress of the project is slow. Smelting enterprises have poor economic returns. For example, lead and zinc smelting profits account for only 20% of the lead and zinc industry, mining profits account for 80%, and some aluminum companies that lack self-provided mines suffer serious losses.
Third, the ability of independent innovation is weak, and industrial structural contradictions are prominent. China's non-ferrous metal industry is generally in the middle and low-end of the international industrial chain division, and the high-end product development capability is weak. In 2013, the average price of China's copper and aluminum imports was 1.16 times and 1.85 times respectively. Independent innovation and high-end product development capabilities need to be improved.
Fourth, the state-owned and holding companies have low profit levels and the management level needs to be improved. From January to December, the main business income of non-ferrous state-owned and holding companies was 1,733.4 billion yuan, accounting for 33% of the whole industry. The total profit was 26.5 billion yuan, accounting for 13% of the whole industry. The main business income profit rate and asset profit rate They are 1.53% and 1.72%, respectively, which are only 39% and 30% of the industry-wide average, which is 26% and 39% of the national average of state-owned and holding industrial enterprises.
Third, the industry situation outlook in 2014
In 2014, the world economy was still in a recovery period after the crisis. The overall situation tends to be stable and begins to grow slowly. However, the return of manufacturing in developed countries and the homogenous competition in developing countries will exacerbate trade friction. From the domestic situation, China's economic fundamentals are still good, and the environment supporting the operation of the non-ferrous metal industry will be further improved. Initially, in 2014, China's non-ferrous metal industry production, consumption, and investment will continue to grow slightly, and the price trend is still dominated by low-level shocks. The resources, energy and environmental pressures facing the development of the industry are increasing, and the adjustment of industrial structure will be further deepened. Overall, the non-ferrous metals industry will be slightly better in operation in 2014, but it will not change much.
Fourth, the industry's key work in 2014
In-depth implementation of the spirit of the Party's 18th and 18th Central Committees and the 3rd Plenary Session, in accordance with the overall requirements and development goals put forward by the Central Economic Work Conference and the National Work Conference, and adhere to the general tone of the work of seeking stability, so that The market plays a decisive role in the allocation of resources, focusing on resolving overcapacity, promoting rare metal legislation, and improving industry management policies, promoting the establishment of a unified, open, competitive and orderly market system, guiding the healthy and orderly development of the industry, and promoting Industry transformation and upgrading.
The first is to resolve the serious overcapacity of electrolytic aluminum production capacity. Strictly implement the relevant policies and measures of the "Guiding Opinions of the State Council on Resolving the Contradictions of Serious Overcapacity in Production Capacity." Strictly control the new total amount, promote the expansion of aluminum applications, implement the ladder price, research and promote the establishment of a fair use of electricity, and guide enterprises to "go global."
The second is to study the related work of strengthening the management of rare metals. In conjunction with the Party Central Committee and the State Council to reduce administrative examination and approval, reduce the overall requirements for market intervention, carefully study rare earth, tungsten, molybdenum and other rare metal products to strengthen industry management policies and measures, actively promote the drafting of the "Rare Metals Management Regulations", and complete the State Council's "rare" The formulation and publicity and interpretation of the Metal Industry Development Plan.
The third is to improve the industry management policy. Revised and released the "Standard Conditions for Copper Smelting Industry" to speed up the revision of the access conditions for tungsten, tin, antimony, lead and zinc industries. As soon as possible, in accordance with the "Aluminum Industry Standard Conditions", the existing aluminum enterprises will be comprehensively sorted out, the second batch of aluminum industry standard work will be started, and the entry and standardization announcements of other varieties will continue to be promoted.
The fourth is to actively promote industrial restructuring and standardized management. Combine the work of resolving excess capacity, and conscientiously do a good job of eliminating backwardness, technological transformation, integration of two industries, and standardization and revision in 2014. Continue to standardize the handling of gold minerals approval documents, and hold a national symposium on gold industry management work in due course.
The fifth is to strengthen industry analysis and research. Strengthen the monitoring and analysis of production, efficiency, investment, and import and export of key varieties, especially electrolytic aluminum. Strengthen the investigation of key provinces, key varieties and key enterprises, sort out the current situation of the industry, and timely carry out the preliminary research work of the “13th Five-Year Development Plan for Nonferrous Metals Industry†to provide a basis for researching and formulating policies and guiding the healthy development of the industry.
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